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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 21
Dec 30, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground

Aberystwyth
1 - 1
Haverfordwest

Owen (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 2-0 Barry
Tuesday, December 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
30.37% (0.622 0.62) 23.31% (0.187 0.19) 46.31% (-0.813 -0.81)
Both teams to score 61.77% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.46% (-0.543 -0.54)39.54% (0.538 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.11% (-0.567 -0.57)61.89% (0.562 0.56)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (0.121 0.12)25.21% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (0.171 0.17)59.95% (-0.176 -0.18)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6% (-0.521 -0.52)17.4% (0.517 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18% (-0.918 -0.92)47.82% (0.912 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 30.37%
    Haverfordwest County 46.31%
    Draw 23.3%
Aberystwyth TownDrawHaverfordwest County
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.111 0.11)
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 4.16% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 30.37%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.39% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 9.24% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.36% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 46.31%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Haverfordwest
3-0
Aberystwyth
Abbruzzese (53'), Whitmore (70', 74')
Wilson (58'), Abbruzzese (81')

Darlington (44')
Darlington (58')
Apr 15, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 9
Haverfordwest
1-1
Aberystwyth
Leahy (54')
Litchfield (45')
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Aberystwyth
0-1
Haverfordwest
Evans (52')
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Haverfordwest
3-1
Aberystwyth
Davies (10'), Jenkins (24'), Fawcett (88')
Bradford (37')
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Aberystwyth
2-1
Haverfordwest
Arnison (24'), Owen (50')
Davies (58')
rhs 2.0
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