Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Druids had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Druids win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.