Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 90.55%. A draw had a probability of 6.7% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 2.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.51%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.08%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-2 (0.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.