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World Cup
Portugal national football team
World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
 
Uruguay national football team

Portugal
2 - 0
Uruguay

Fernandes (54', 90+3' pen.)
Neves (38'), Felix (77'), Dias (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bentancur (6'), Olivera (44')

The Match

Match Report

Bruno Fernandes scores a second-half brace to guide Portugal to a 2-0 victory over Uruguay, while securing his country's passage to the World Cup last 16 in the process.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup clash between Portugal and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Uruguay could line up in Monday's World Cup contest with Portugal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Portugal 3-2 Ghana
Thursday, November 24 at 4pm in World Cup

Uruguay

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 South Korea
Thursday, November 24 at 1pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 24.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawUruguay
48.84% (0.154 0.15) 26.39% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 24.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 47.56% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.8% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)56.2% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)77.25% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.054000000000002 0.05)23.06% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (0.079999999999998 0.08)56.89% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (-0.143 -0.14)38.19% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (-0.14 -0.14)74.95% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Portugal 48.83%
    Uruguay 24.77%
    Draw 26.38%
PortugalDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 12.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.46% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 48.83%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.81% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.08% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Portugal vs Uruguay

Portugal
70.5%
Draw
15.0%
Uruguay
14.5%
1028
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2018 7pm
Uruguay
2-1
Portugal
Cavani (7', 62')
Pepe (55')
Ronaldo (90')
> Match Report
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 Portugal players pose for a team group photo before the match in September 2022
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Nov 27, 18:59
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Sports Mole looks at how Uruguay could line up in Monday's World Cup contest with Portugal.
Nov 26, 11:10
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Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up in Monday's World Cup contest with Uruguay.
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