Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 69.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Hansa Rostock had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Hansa Rostock win it was 1-2 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.