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Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
May 7, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Sydney Football Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Sydney FC
1 - 4
Victory

le Fondre (16')
Retre (28'), Yazbek (77')
FT(HT: 1-3)
D'Agostino (14'), Brimmer (30'), Geria (38'), Hamill (87')
Marchan (69')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

Last Six:
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

Last Six:
Last Game: Victory 1-4 Western Utd
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
40.54%25.54%33.91%
Both teams to score 55.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5%48.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37%70.62%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.8%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62%27.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15%62.84%
Score Analysis
    Sydney FC 40.54%
    Melbourne Victory 33.91%
    Draw 25.55%
Sydney FCDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 8.71%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 40.54%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.4%
1-2 @ 7.84%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.35%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.91%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 8.45am
Victory
2-2
Sydney FC
Folami (17'), Kruse (77')
Kelava (82')
Ninkovic (37'), Bobo (81')
Bobo (90+4'), Amini (90+8')
May 19, 2021 10.05am
Sydney FC
2-0
Victory
Bobo (10'), Barbarouses (83')
Brattan (30')

Brimmer (45'), Folami (46'), Barnett (90+3')
Apr 27, 2021 10.35am
Sydney FC
1-0
Victory
Bobo (6')

Folami (83'), Barnett (86')
Apr 4, 2021 10.05am
Victory
0-3
Sydney FC

Kamsoba (14')
Kamsoba (32')
Bobo (42'), Barbarouses (50'), Baumjohann (84' pen.)
McGowan (63')
Mar 7, 2020 8.30am
Victory
1-4
Sydney FC
Rojas (5')
Rojas (56'), Gallifuoco (57'), Nabbout (60')
Hoogland (85')
Ninkovic (43'), Caceres (64'), Le Fondre (66'), Barbarouses (87' pen.)
Barbarouses (78')
rhs 2.0
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