Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
53.73% (![]() | 22.76% (![]() | 23.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.52% (![]() | 42.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.11% (![]() | 64.89% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% (![]() | 15.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.08% (![]() | 44.92% (![]() |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.22% (![]() | 31.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.79% (![]() | 68.2% |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 9.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.46% 4-1 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.54% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.09% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |