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Adelaide United
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Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Nov 10, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Marvel Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Victory
1 - 1
Wellington

Teague (14')
Geria (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 5-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 4 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
53.73% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.76% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)42.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.89% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.08% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.22% (0.0049999999999955 0)31.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.2%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 53.73%
    Wellington Phoenix 23.51%
    Draw 22.75%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-1 @ 2.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 53.73%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.75%
1-2 @ 6.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 23.51%

How you voted: Victory vs Wellington

Melbourne Victory
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Wellington Phoenix
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3am
Gameweek 22
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (25')
Fornaroli (58'), Da Silva (76')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Victory
3-1
Wellington
Fornaroli (32'), Brimmer (54'), Juric (90+1')
Zawada (13')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 26
Victory
3-1
Wellington
D'Agostino (2'), Brimmer (68' pen.), Rojas (78')
Broxham (24'), D'Agostino (39'), Nigro (43'), Rojas (54')
Sandoval (26' pen.)
Wootton (13'), Surman (71'), Pennington (77')
Feb 9, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 12
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Piscopo (74')
Ball (57'), Fenton (76'), Piscopo (90')
Mar 24, 2021 8.05am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
4-1
Victory
Hemed (11'), Ball (36'), Davila (62'), Lewis (68')
Fenton (74')
Kamsoba (76')
Traore (65'), Kruse (70'), Butterfield (90+1')
> Preview
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