Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.