Australian A-League | Gameweek 23
Apr 6, 2024 at 5.30am UK
AAMI Park
Western Utd4 - 2Macarthur
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Macarthur.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Adelaide United 4-1 Western Utd
Friday, March 29 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, March 29 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Macarthur 1-3 Western Sydney
Monday, April 1 at 5am in Australian A-League
Monday, April 1 at 5am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.61%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
41.93% ( -0.6) | 22.31% ( 0.17) | 35.76% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 67.81% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
