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St Mirren logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Aberdeen logo

St Mirren
1 - 1
Aberdeen

McGrath (44' pen.)
Doyle-Hayes (38'), Erhahon (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hayes (37')
Ferguson (5'), Hayes (55')
Ferguson (51')

Preview: St Mirren vs. Aberdeen - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Aberdeen travel to St Mirren in the Scottish Premiership for the second successive Saturday after facing them in the League Cup last weekend.

The visitors are looking to win their first league game in three against a side that progressed to the cup quarter-finals at their expense.


Match preview

St Mirren manager Jim Goodwin pictured in August 2020© Reuters

St Mirren have enjoyed a spell of good form in recent weeks and are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Five of those games have been in the Scottish League Cup, including the surprise 2-1 victory over Aberdeen last weekend, with an 88th-minute strike from Jamie McGrath securing their place in the next round.

Jim Goodwin's side have also picked up four points from their last two league matches and ended an eight-game winless run in the Scottish Premiership with victory at Livingston two weeks ago.

However, they were handed some disappointing news this week as the SPFL announced that the club, along with Kilmarnock, have been consigned to Scottish Premiership defeats after being found guilty of breaches of coronavirus protocols.

The Saints – who sit 11th in the table, one place above Hamilton Academical who are bottom – will be looking to win back-to-back league games for the first time since May 2019.

Aberdeen manager Derek McInnes pictured in November 22, 2020© Reuters

Aberdeen have suffered a dip in form which has seen Derek McInnes's side knocked out of the Scottish League Cup and win only one of their last five league matches.

The Dons however will be pleased that Ross McCrorie, Connor McLennan and in particular Lewis Ferguson are now out of self-isolation and are all in contention for this weekend's trip to Paisley.

Ferguson had been a key player for Aberdeen this season before having to self-isolate, with the midfielder directly involved in eight goals in his last six Scottish Premiership games – scoring six and providing two assists.

McInnes is keen to get back to winning ways and will have confidence heading into Saturday, with the Dons having lost only one of their last 20 league meetings with St Mirren.

Aberdeen have also suffered only one defeat in their last 11 away league outings – winning four and drawing the other six – although they have failed to win any of their last three matches on the road.

Victory against the Saints would move them level on points with Celtic in second place if the Hoops were to lose to St Johnstone on Sunday.

St Mirren Scottish Premiership form: LLLLDW
St Mirren form (all competitions): WDWWWW

Aberdeen Scottish Premiership form: DWDWLD
Aberdeen form (all competitions): DLWLDL


Team News

Scott Wright pictured for Aberdeen against Viking FK in September 2020© Reuters

St Mirren centre-back Joe Shaughnessy is back from suspension and could start ahead of Sam Foley who played in the last match.

Dylan Connelly could keep his place in the starting XI on the right side of midfield ahead of Junior Morais.

Aberdeen's Lewis Ferguson and Connor McLennan are both in contention to start on Saturday, although Ross McCrorie may not be ready to feature in the starting lineup.

Niall McGinn is a doubt after feeling his hip and groin during training so will be assessed leading up to the match.

Dylan McGeouch remains out with a groin injury as does Marley Watkins who is suffering with a hamstring problem.

St Mirren possible starting lineup:
Alnwick; Fraser, McCarthy, Shaughnessy; Connelly, Erhanon, McGrath, MacPherson, Tait; Erwin, Obika

Aberdeen possible starting lineup:
Lewis; Hoban, Taylor, Considine; Kennedy, Ferguson, Ojo, Leigh; Hedges, Main; Cosgrove


SM words green background

We say: St Mirren 1-1 Aberdeen

St Mirren have kept clean sheets in both of their last two home league games against Aberdeen and with the Dons struggling to find form, the home side could extend their unbeaten record.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 1-2 (8.13%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: St Mirren vs Aberdeen

St Mirren
38.1%
Draw
22.2%
Aberdeen
39.7%
63
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Aberdeen manager Derek McInnes pictured in November 22, 2020
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78


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