Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Las Palmas |
47.71% ( -0.24) | 26.28% ( 0.05) | 26.01% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 48.93% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.06% ( -0.06) | 54.94% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.77% ( -0.05) | 76.22% ( 0.05) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.96% ( -0.13) | 23.04% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.14% ( -0.2) | 56.86% ( 0.2) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( 0.13) | 36.41% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( 0.13) | 73.2% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.7% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 26.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |