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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 22
Oct 2, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Julio H. Grondona
Independiente

Arsenal
0 - 1
Independiente


Perez (9'), Goni (45'), Rivero (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vallejo (3')
Vallejo (24'), Elizalde (43'), Laso (86'), Batallini (87'), Barreto (90+1')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Arsenal Sarandi and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarmiento 2-0 Arsenal
Saturday, September 24 at 5pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Newell's OB
Sunday, September 25 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
Arsenal SarandiDrawIndependiente
30.71% (0.133 0.13) 27.89% (0.103 0.1) 41.4% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 47.13% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.38% (-0.325 -0.32)58.61% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.83% (-0.255 -0.25)79.17% (0.249 0.25)
Arsenal Sarandi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)34.66% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (-0.075999999999997 -0.08)71.39% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.286 -0.29)27.86% (0.281 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (-0.367 -0.37)63.46% (0.361 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Sarandi 30.7%
    Independiente 41.4%
    Draw 27.88%
Arsenal SarandiDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 6.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 30.7%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.66% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 12.34% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2022 10.15pm
Nov 6, 2021 9pm
Independiente
3-0
Arsenal
Sonora (17'), Romero (37'), Velasco (56')
Velasco (57')

Mendez (43')
Jan 3, 2021 8.10pm
Zone Two
Independiente
3-4
Arsenal
Romero (33'), Menendez (68'), Velasco (83')
Romero (74'), Velasco (75'), Franco (78')
Pusineri (74'), Franco (79')
Albertengo (15'), Candia (59'), Luna (73', 90+4')
Papa (82'), Candia (84'), Pons (90+1')
Candia (85')
Feb 18, 2020 12.10am
Independiente
1-1
Arsenal
Fernandez (90')
Benavidez (38'), Mercado (42'), Barboza (86'), Fernandez (90')
Fernandez (90')
Alvarez Suarez (15')
Pereyra (49'), Sbuttoni (71'), Antilef (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield20116333141939
2HuracanHuracan209922091136
3UnionUnion209652318533
4TalleresTalleres208932420433
5Racing ClubRacing209472820831
6River PlateRiver Plate2079424141030
7Atletico TucumanTucuman208662021-130
8Instituto208572519629
9Deportivo Riestra208572222029
10Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2061042219328
11EstudiantesEstudiantes207762321228
12Platense207761716128
13IndependienteIndependiente2051231613327
14TigreTigre206862523226
15BelgranoBelgrano206862323026
16GimnasiaGimnasia206771919025
17Boca Juniors206772122-125
18Rosario CentralRosario206682220224
19San Lorenzo206681618-224
20Independiente Rivadavia206681320-724
21Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs206591620-423
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba206592227-523
23LanusLanus205872027-723
24Sarmiento204971520-521
25BanfieldBanfield205691926-721
26Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB205691324-1121
27Defensa y JusticiaDefensa204791729-1219
28Barracas Central2037101024-1416


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