Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Aug 17, 2021 at 12.15am UK
Norberto Tomaghello
Defensa4 - 2Sarmiento
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Defensa y Justicia and Sarmiento.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Defensa y Justicia | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 54.7% | 23.47% | 21.82% |
| Both teams to score 52.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
