MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:21:20| >> :120:13351:13351:
[monks data]
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
Brighton logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Brighton

Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')

Preview: Aston Villa vs. Brighton & Hove Albion - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two of the Premier League's overachievers in the 2022-23 season meet in the West Midlands for Sunday's final-day showdown as Aston Villa play host to Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Lions are in the driving seat for Europa Conference League football with one game to go, while Roberto De Zerbi's side have assured themselves of a place in the 2023-24 Europa League.


Match preview

Aston Villa manager Unai Emery pictured on April 15, 2023© Reuters

Serial Europa League winner Unai Emery may not get the chance to flaunt his excellence in the continent's second-tier competition next year, but the former Arsenal and Villarreal boss is on the cusp of leading Aston Villa to the unlikeliest of seventh-placed finishes.

Emery's time at the Emirates may be best consigned to the history books, but the Spaniard is a strong contender for the Manager of the Year prize after overseeing a spectacular rise from the ashes for the Lions, who came oh so close to leaving Anfield with a maximum last weekend.

After watching his teammate sent a penalty wide, Jacob Ramsey spared Ollie Watkins's blushes with a fine finish from a tight angle to open the scoring, but departing Liverpool striker Roberto Firmino signed off on Merseyside with a late leveller to force a share of the spoils.

Despite now boasting just one win from their last four games, Villa are sitting pretty in seventh place in the table - one point clear of Tottenham Hotspur and two better off than Brentford - and they will qualify for the 2023-24 Europa Conference League with all three points in front of the home faithful.

Amid a spate of continuous shortcomings on the road, home is where the heart is for Emery's side; the Lions have won each of their last six contests at Villa Park - only conceding to a Harry Kane penalty - but while they will be forced to wait to book their flights and hotels across Europe, Brighton's itinerary is already being filled in.

Brighton & Hove Albion manager Roberto De Zerbi during the lap of appreciation after the match on May 21, 2023© Reuters

A goal fit for European competition flew into the back of Stefan Ortega's net on Wednesday evening, as Roberto De Zerbi's soaring Seagulls halted the Manchester City title parade to spark their own celebrations in a hard-earned 1-1 draw with the champions.

Pep Guardiola's rotated side broke the deadlock in the first half through Phil Foden, but a Julio Enciso thunderbolt restored parity for Brighton and guaranteed the South-coast side a spot in the Europa League next term, just reward for the magnificent feats of their playing and non-playing staff.

Whether sixth-placed Brighton can hang onto the likes of Alexis Mac Allister and Moises Caicedo for their continental adventures remains to be seen, but Seagulls fans can be sure that any high-profile departures will be adequately replaced with the money that comes in, and keeping hold of the revered De Zerbi amid interest from Tottenham Hotspur would be no mean feat either.

Inconsistency has been the theme for Brighton away from home, though, as they have followed a sequence of winning one then losing one on their travels in their last six games - going down 4-1 to Newcastle United only a few days after humbling Arsenal 3-0 - but only Brentford have prevented De Zerbi's men from scoring on the road this term.

Furthermore, Brighton have only beaten Villa once in their seven Premier League meetings - losing each of their last three to the Lions - and such a pattern continuing in the West Midlands would see the Seagulls welcome their hosts into the exclusive European club.

Aston Villa Premier League form:

Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League form:


Team News

Aston Villa's Alex Moreno applauds fans after the match on April 4, 2023© Reuters

Just 12 minutes after being introduced against Liverpool, left-back Alex Moreno had to be brought off with a thigh injury, and he is now facing between two and three months on the sidelines after undergoing surgery.

Jed Steer and Philippe Coutinho are also confirmed to be missing the final-day encounter, but Calum Chambers and Diego Carlos should make their returns to the matchday squad after recovering from illness and a knock respectively.

Having been snubbed for an England call-up for June's Euro 2024 qualifiers, Watkins will endeavour to right the wrongs of last weekend and show Gareth Southgate what he is missing with a 15th Premier League goal of the season, potentially with Emiliano Buendia alongside him instead of Leon Bailey.

Brighton also come into Sunday's game with a hefty injury list, as Tariq Lamptey (knee), Jeremy Sarmiento (ankle) and Jakub Moder (knee) remain out of action for the time being.

It also remains to be seen if Adam Lallana and Solly March can recover from their thigh problems in time for the weekend, but De Zerbi should not risk either man unnecessarily with their spot in the table rubber-stamped, while exiled goalkeeper Robert Sanchez is still nowhere to be seen with the squad.

Rotation should be afoot in the wake of Wednesday's successful exertions, with all of Lewis Dunk, Adam Webster, Joel Veltman, Evan Ferguson and Mac Allister - on what may be his farewell appearance - returning to the first XI.


Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne; McGinn, Kamara, Luiz, Ramsey; Buendia, Watkins

Brighton & Hove Albion possible starting lineup:
Steele; Veltman, Dunk, Webster, Estupinan; Caicedo, Gross; Mitoma, Mac Allister, Enciso; Ferguson


SM words green background

We say: Aston Villa 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

While Brighton should not be in any charitable mood towards Villa, the Seagulls will be battling jellied legs from midweek and may take their foot off the gas with Europa League qualification in the bag.

De Zerbi's side are far from predictable on the road as well, but Villa have been near-flawless at home over the past several weeks, and we have faith in Emery's side to come up trumps and mark a phenomenal ascent up the table with Europa Conference League qualification.



For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data


ID:514726:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect14705:
Written by
Ben Knapton

Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brighton

Aston Villa
57.8%
Draw
18.0%
Brighton & Hove Albion
24.2%
128
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Brighton & Hove Albion's Solly March and manager Roberto De Zerbi look dejected after losing the penalty shootout on April 23, 2023
Read Next:
Brighton's De Zerbi confirms four players will miss Newcastle clash
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!