Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Eupen had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.99%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.66%), while for a Eupen win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.