Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Palmeiras4 - 1Gremio
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Goias 0-5 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Gremio 3-3 Bragantino
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Gremio |
65.78% ( -0.06) | 19.59% ( -0.01) | 14.62% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
