MX23RW : Friday, April 11 17:47:14| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Heidenheim
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Stuttgart
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VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Dortmund logo

Freiburg
1 - 4
Dortmund

Eggestein (88')
Ginter (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeyemi (34'), Chukwuemeka (51'), Guirassy (68'), Bynoe-Gittens (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Mainz
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

Freiburg are unlikely to prevent Dortmund from scoring given their poor form of late, but the visitors' record on the road is also concerning. BVB may struggle at the back with so many defenders ruled out, while the absence of a traditional striker up front could prove costly in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 32.74% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.35%).

Result
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
32.74% (-0.253 -0.25) 23.2% (-0.332 -0.33) 44.06% (0.587 0.59)
Both teams to score 63.39% (1.128 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.08% (1.523 1.52)37.92% (-1.52 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.82% (1.606 1.61)60.18% (-1.603 -1.6)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.98% (0.58099999999999 0.58)23.02% (-0.578 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (0.846 0.85)56.83% (-0.842 -0.84)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (0.85300000000001 0.85)17.65% (-0.85 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74% (1.456 1.46)48.26% (-1.453 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 32.74%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.06%
    Draw 23.2%
FreiburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.97% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.23% (0.109 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 6.59% (0.112 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 8.98% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.19% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.167 0.17)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.25% (0.121 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.115 0.12)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 44.06%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Dortmund

Freiburg
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
Freiburg
44.2%
Draw
14.0%
Borussia Dortmund
41.9%
43
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Dortmund
4-0
Freiburg
Beier (7'), Nmecha (40'), Brandt (66'), Bynoe-Gittens (77')
Couto (80')

Osterhage (58')
Osterhage (63'), Adamu (90+3')
Feb 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
3-0
Freiburg
Malen (16', 45+7'), Fullkrug (87')
Ryerson (14'), Malen (73')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Freiburg
2-4
Dortmund
Holer (45+2'), Hofler (45+6')
Lienhart (87'), Eggestein (89')
Hofler (82')
Hummels (11', 88'), Malen (60'), Reus (90+2')
Bensebaini (45+4'), Wolf (68'), Can (78')
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
Dortmund
5-1
Freiburg
Schlotterbeck (26'), Adeyemi (48'), Haller (51'), Brandt (69'), Reyna (82')
Holer (45')
Aug 12, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Freiburg
1-3
Dortmund
Gregoritsch (35')
Kyereh (86')
Bynoe-Gittens (77'), Moukoko (84'), Wolf (88')
Meunier (33'), Bellingham (60'), Schlotterbeck (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern28215281275468
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen28188263342962
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt28146855421348
4Mainz 05Mainz28137846321446
5RB Leipzig2812974435945
6Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach28135104541444
7Freiburg28126103844-642
8Borussia DortmundDortmund28125115243941
9Stuttgart28117105144740
10Werder Bremen28116114553-839
11Augsburg2810993139-839
12Wolfsburg28108104942738
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2896132640-1433
14Hoffenheim2869133452-1827
15St Pauli2875162334-1126
16Heidenheim2864183253-2122
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum2855182859-3120
18Holstein Kiel2846183968-2918


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