MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:22:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
vs.
Dortmund

Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 0-1 Augsburg
Saturday, March 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Lille vs. Dortmund
Wednesday, March 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 36.59% and a draw has a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.35%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.12%).

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
36.59% (-0.616 -0.62) 23.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 40.32% (0.625 0.63)
Both teams to score 64.87% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.58% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)36.42% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.44% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)58.56% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (-0.309 -0.31)20.31% (0.313 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.31% (-0.5 -0.5)52.69% (0.504 0.5)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.264 0.26)18.6% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.12% (0.439 0.44)49.88% (-0.437 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 36.59%
    Borussia Dortmund 40.32%
    Draw 23.09%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 6.02% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.8% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.09%
1-2 @ 8.52% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 6.35% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.78% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.81% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 3% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.6% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 40.32%

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Dortmund?

RB Leipzig
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Borussia Dortmund
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Beier (30'), Guirassy (65')
Beier (21'), Bensebaini (34'), Azhil (90+7')
Sesko (27')
Baumgartner (8'), Henrichs (35'), Geertruida (40'), Kampl (81')
Apr 27, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
4-1
Dortmund
Openda (23'), Sesko (45+2'), Simakan (46'), Baumgartner (80')
Simakan (37')
Sancho (20')
Sancho (37'), Schlotterbeck (76')
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Dortmund
2-3
RB Leipzig
Sule (45+6'), Fullkrug (90+3')
Ozcan (60')
Hummels (15')
Bensebaini (32' og.), Baumgartner (54'), Poulsen (90+1')
Simakan (35'), Simons (61'), Openda (66')
Apr 5, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-0
Dortmund
Werner (22'), Orban (90+8')
Mar 3, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
2-1
RB Leipzig
Reus (21' pen.), Can (39')
Forsberg (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern25194274235161
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen25158255302553
3Mainz 05Mainz25135742261644
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt25126751391242
5Freiburg2512583436-241
6RB Leipzig2510963933639
7Wolfsburg25108749391038
8Stuttgart2510784439537
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach25114103938137
10Borussia DortmundDortmund25105104539635
11Augsburg259882835-735
12Werder Bremen2596103849-1133
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2576122337-1427
14Hoffenheim2568113247-1526
15St Pauli2564151930-1122
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum2546152550-2518
17Holstein Kiel2545163761-2417
18Heidenheim2544172851-2316


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