Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 19, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
4 - 1
Hertha Berlin

Adeyemi (27'), Malen (31'), Reus (76'), Brandt (90')
Ryerson (58')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tousart (46')
Cigerci (58'), Rogel (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hertha Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hertha Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 4-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, February 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Hertha Berlin

Although Hertha Berlin crushed Gladbach last time out, Schwarz's side will struggle to continue their mini-revival against in-form Borussia Dortmund. After all, BVB have won six of their last seven Bundesliga home games, meaning that Terzic's men should extend their winning streak to eight games without any real problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 75.63%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 9.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hertha Berlin
75.63%	14.7% ( -0)	9.67% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.46% (

-0.01)

31.55% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.97% (

-0.01)

53.03% (

0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.05% (

-0)

6.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.53% (

-0.01)

25.47% (

Hertha Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.79% (

-0.01)

42.21% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.38% (

-0.01)

78.62% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 75.62%

Hertha Berlin 9.67%

Draw 14.7%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hertha Berlin
2-0 @ 10.42% 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.33% 3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.3% 5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.3% 6-0 @ 1.47% 6-1 @ 1.26% 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 75.62%	1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.7%	1-2 @ 2.91% 0-1 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.02% Total : 9.67%