Mainz 05

4 - 0

Arminia Bielefeld

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 14.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.