It is a big ask for Hamrun Spartans to turn this tie around, and we have to side with Lincoln Red Imps here. It would not be a surprise to see the visitors score, but the home side should have enough to navigate their way into the next stage, as any draw is also good enough for them to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%).

Result
Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
28.94% ( 0.42)	25.7% ( 0.36)	45.36% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.03% (

-1.28)

50.97% (

1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.16% (

-1.14)

72.84% (

1.14)

Lincoln Red Imps Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03% (

-0.35)

31.97% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

-0.41)

68.43% (

0.41)

Hamrun Spartans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57% (

-0.89)

22.43% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.04% (

-1.35)

55.96% (

1.35)

Score Analysis

Lincoln Red Imps 28.94%

Hamrun Spartans 45.36%

Draw 25.7%

Lincoln Red Imps	Draw	Hamrun Spartans
1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.94%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7%	0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.36%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Hamrun Spartans

Lincoln Red Imps

59.6%

Draw

25.5%

Hamrun Spartans

14.9%

Head to Head

Jul 9, 2024 5.45pm

First Qualifying Round 1st Leg

Hamrun Spartans

0-1

Lincoln

Emerson (33'), Borg (71'), Montebello (90+5')
Elionay (10')

Britto (37')
Gomez (24'), De Barr (45+2'), Ayew (63'), Santana (74'), Bent (90+5')
Gomez (45')

> Preview

Form Guide

Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Lincoln

Lincoln 1-3 KF Ballkani

KF Ballkani 2-0 Lincoln

Qarabag 4-0 Lincoln

Lincoln 1-2 Qarabag

Lincoln 0-1 Tobol

Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Lincoln

Ferencvaros 2-1 Hamrun Spartans

Hamrun Spartans 1-6 Ferencvaros

Dinamo Tbilisi 0-1 Hamrun Spartans

Hamrun Spartans 2-1 Dinamo Tbilisi

M. Haifa 2-1 Hamrun Spartans

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Lincoln
0 - 1
Hamrun Spartans