MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 05:28:26| >> :120:14920:14920:
Champions League header

Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Gozo Stadium
Lincoln Red Imps

Hamrun Spartans
0 - 1
Lincoln


Emerson (33'), Borg (71'), Montebello (90+5')
Elionay (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Britto (37')
Gomez (24'), De Barr (45+2'), Ayew (63'), Santana (74'), Bent (90+5')
Gomez (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Hamrun Spartans and Lincoln Red Imps, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamrun Spartans

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Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Lincoln Red Imps

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Hamrun Spartans 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps

 Hamrun Spartans may have struggled in recent home outings in UEFA competitions, but we think that they could claim a narrow win over a Lincoln Red Imps side that has lost 14 of their previous 17 European away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Hamrun SpartansDrawLincoln Red Imps
43.67% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 26.21% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 30.12% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.5% (-0.238 -0.24)52.5% (0.23999999999999 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.83% (-0.206 -0.21)74.17% (0.208 0.21)
Hamrun Spartans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)23.9% (0.098000000000003 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (-0.139 -0.14)58.1% (0.141 0.14)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.1% (-0.172 -0.17)31.9% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.65% (-0.198 -0.2)68.35% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Hamrun Spartans 43.66%
    Lincoln Red Imps 30.12%
    Draw 26.21%
Hamrun SpartansDrawLincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.62% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.98%
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 30.12%

How you voted: Hamrun Spartans vs Lincoln

Hamrun Spartans
72.0%
Draw
12.0%
Lincoln Red Imps
16.0%
50
rhs 2.0
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