Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Gozo Stadium
Hamrun Spartans0 - 1Lincoln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ferencvaros 2-1 Hamrun Spartans
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 17 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Hamrun Spartans 2-1 Lincoln Red Imps
Hamrun Spartans may have struggled in recent home outings in UEFA competitions, but we think that they could claim a narrow win over a Lincoln Red Imps side that has lost 14 of their previous 17 European away matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamrun Spartans win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamrun Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamrun Spartans | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
43.67% ( 0.02) | 26.21% ( 0.05) | 30.12% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
