We said: Red Bull Salzburg 1-2 AC Milan
Despite the difference in profile, this has all the makings of being a competitive fixture, one which the home side may end with a share of the spoils. Nevertheless, Milan's superior quality in the final third may shine through, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the Serie A champions.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
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