Nunez would do extremely well to make lightning strike twice in midweek, and while another four-goal showing is surely out of the equation, Klopp's merciless crop should not take a hit to the momentum here. Salzburg are already in the full flow of their domestic season and can use their youthful energy to breach the Liverpool backline, but Jaissle's side will not experience much joy elsewhere on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.33%) and 0-1 (5.07%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Liverpool
35.07% ( 0.42)	21.72% ( 0.03)	43.21% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 69.96% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.31% (

-0.02)

29.69% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.18% (

-0.02)

50.82% (

0.02)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

0.19)

17.99% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.15% (

0.32)

48.85% (

-0.33)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.3% (

-0.17)

14.7% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.13% (

-0.32)

42.88% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Red Bull Salzburg 35.07%

Liverpool 43.21%

Draw 21.72%

Red Bull Salzburg	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.07%	1-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.72%	1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 43.21%