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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Ashton Gate
Cardiff City logo

Bristol City
3 - 2
Cardiff

Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')

Preview: Bristol City vs. Cardiff City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bristol City play host to Cardiff City in the Severnside derby looking to improve on a sequence of three defeats from their last four Championship fixtures.

While the home side sit in 16th position in the standings, the Bluebirds are four places and seven points behind after a five-game winless streak.


Match preview

Bristol City manager Nigel Pearson pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

Having only suffered a 1-0 defeat to Fulham after extra time in the FA Cup, Nigel Pearson would have been quietly optimistic about a repeat performance in the league fixture at Craven Cottage.

However, a week on from their gutsy effort at Ashton Gate, Bristol City capitulated in West London, conceding five goals during a 26-minute period having previously held the lead.

The positives can be taken from causing Fulham problems during the opening half hour, but the Robins are now 12 points adrift of the playoffs with many teams having played at least one game fewer.

As many as 15 goals have been conceded in five Championship fixtures, and Pearson now finds himself looking to achieve mid-table consolidation over the coming months.

They have good memories of this fixture, however, with a double from Andreas Weimann earning a 2-1 triumph in South Wales at the end of August.

From Cardiff's perspective, interim manager Steve Morison requires something extra from his players if they are to move away from the relegation zone.

While a four-point advantage is satisfactory at this stage, they need to end a five-match winless streak in the second tier ahead of crucial encounters against Barnsley and Peterborough United respectively.

Nevertheless, Morison can still take the positives from how his backline has improved, conceding just three times in games with West Bromwich Albion, Preston North End and Blackburn Rovers.

Morison has recently been critical of his team's attack, however, with Cardiff now possessing the joint-fifth offensive record in the division.

Bristol City Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Bristol City form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Cardiff City Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L

Cardiff City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Cardiff City's Kieffer Moore celebrates scoring their first goal against Reading in the Championship on April 16, 2021© Reuters

Pearson is expected to make several changes to his Bristol City, including handing a recall to defender Rob Atkinson.

Using Jay Dasilva as a right wing-back did not work at Fulham, but Pearson will need to assess alternatives with George Tanner having been carrying a hamstring injury.

Dasilva may move flanks, taking the spot of Callum O'Dowda, with Zak Vyner potentially being deployed at right wing-back, but Matty James could again miss out with a foot injury.

Having been less than impressed with Cardiff's efforts in the final third last week, Rubin Colwill and Isaak Davies are both pushing for opportunities.

Marlon Pack may also come back into the centre of the pitch, but doubts remain over Kieffer Moore's availability.

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
O'Leary; Kalas, Atkinson, Pring; Vyner, Massengo, King, Dasilva; Scott; Weimann, Semenyo

Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Smithies; Drameh, McGuinness, Flint, Nelson, Ng; Vaulks, Pack, Ralls; Collins, Davies


SM words green background

We say: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff City

The pressure is on the shoulders of Cardiff more so than Bristol City, but that is something which could stimulate an improved performance. Nevertheless, we can only back this contest to end in a competitive draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Bristol City vs Cardiff

Bristol City
78.9%
Draw
15.8%
Cardiff City
5.3%
19
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