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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Birmingham logo

Derby
1 - 2
Birmingham

FT(HT: 1-0)
Jutkiewicz (62', 84')

The Match

Match Report

Lukas Jutkiewicz scored twice as Blues came from behind to beat Wayne Rooney's men.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 35.98%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.42% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.1%) and 2-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (13.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawBirmingham City
35.98%30.59%33.42%
Both teams to score 40.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.05%66.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.77%85.23%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57%35.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.19%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.79%37.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01%73.99%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 35.97%
    Birmingham City 33.42%
    Draw 30.59%
Derby CountyDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.67%
2-0 @ 7.1%
2-1 @ 7.02%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 13.52%
0-0 @ 13.18%
2-2 @ 3.47%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.59%
0-1 @ 13.03%
1-2 @ 6.69%
0-2 @ 6.44%
1-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 33.42%

How you voted: Derby vs Birmingham

Derby County
41.9%
Draw
14.5%
Birmingham City
43.5%
62
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
0-4
Derby
Bielik (15'), Shinnie (17' pen.), Kazim-Richards (26'), Knight (77')
Sibley (67')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 46
Birmingham
1-3
Derby
Sunjic (56')
(90+4')
Shinnie (6'), Whittaker (87'), Sibley (90+1')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Derby
3-2
Birmingham
Martin (2'), Waghorn (50'), Paterson (74')
Holmes (44'), Bielik (45'), Malone (92')
Gardner (56'), Sunjic (59')
Alvaro (22')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Birmingham
2-2
Derby
Jutkiewicz (2'), Morrison (18')
Gardner (38'), Jutkiewicz (56'), Adams (92')
Waghorn (7'), Keogh (28')
Bryson (45'), Waghorn (48'), Cole (66')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 16
Derby
3-1
Birmingham
Bennett (53'), Wilson (55'), Marriott (73')
Jutkiewicz (10')
Camp (51'), Gardner (65'), Morrison (82')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom7511125716
2Sunderland7502146815
3Blackburn RoversBlackburn7430146815
4Burnley7421134914
5Leeds UnitedLeeds7421124814
6Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
7Watford74121210213
8Middlesbrough732285311
9Swansea CitySwansea732285311
10Norwich CityNorwich7322119211
11Oxford UnitedOxford Utd7313108210
12Hull City72329819
13Derby CountyDerby7304101009
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall7223121028
16Plymouth ArgylePlymouth7223811-38
17Queens Park RangersQPR7142811-37
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
19Luton TownLuton7214611-57
20Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
21Coventry CityCoventry7124611-55
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff7016217-151


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