MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 01:11:53| >> :600:335072:335072:
Bristol Rovers
FA Cup | Third Round Replays
Jan 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Norwich logo

Bristol Rovers
1 - 3
Norwich

McCormick (20')
Finley (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sara (53'), Idah (59' pen.), McLean (87')
Rowe (61'), Barnes (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Bristol Rovers and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Norwich
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Norwich City

Both teams will be motivated by the prospect of facing Liverpool in the fourth round and will fancy their chances of success on Wednesday, particularly Bristol Rovers on home soil if Norwich decide to make several changes to their lineup. However, Wagner should still select a strong-enough team capable of getting the job done this time around to avoid a cup upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawNorwich City
44.22% (-0.933 -0.93) 23.89% (0.373 0.37) 31.88% (0.553 0.55)
Both teams to score 60.48% (-1.086 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (-1.54 -1.54)41.57% (1.533 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (-1.574 -1.57)63.97% (1.569 1.57)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (-1.005 -1.01)19.05% (0.999 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.36% (-1.688 -1.69)50.64% (1.683 1.68)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.72% (-0.41300000000001 -0.41)25.27% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.96% (-0.569 -0.57)60.03% (0.563 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 44.22%
    Norwich City 31.89%
    Draw 23.89%
Bristol RoversDrawNorwich City
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.299 0.3)
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 44.22%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.326 0.33)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.62% (0.375 0.38)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.072 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 31.89%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Norwich

Bristol Rovers
26.6%
Draw
13.9%
Norwich City
59.5%
79
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
May 1, 2010 3pm
Oct 3, 2009 3pm
Norwich
5-1
Bristol Rovers
Hoolahan (31' pen.), Martin (9'), Holt (33', 40'), Cureton (90')
Berthel Askou (26'), Lappin (38'), Drury (59')
Hughes (26' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!