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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
25.17% ( 0.3) | 21.82% ( 0.02) | 53% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 62.76% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% ( 0.19) | 36.36% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.51% ( 0.21) | 58.49% ( -0.21) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.88% ( 0.33) | 27.12% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.49% ( 0.43) | 62.51% ( -0.43) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.11% ( -0.04) | 13.89% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.7% ( -0.07) | 41.3% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Rotherham United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 25.17% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.82% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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