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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Rotherham logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Rotherham

Forss (82')
Hackney (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cafu (59')
Morrison (40'), Johansson (69'), Clucas (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-0 Rotherham United

Should Middlesbrough be able to keep their focus on Saturday's clash amid plenty of excitement surrounding their EFL Cup antics, Boro will be more than good enough to beat Rotherham. The Millers have been harmless on their travels this term, and we cannot envisage that changing at the Riverside, despite the hosts' unprecedented number of absentees. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 62.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawRotherham United
62.22% (0.222 0.22) 21.62% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 16.16% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 48.89% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17% (0.114 0.11)47.83% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.98% (0.104 0.1)70.02% (-0.107 -0.11)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.19% (0.10700000000001 0.11)14.81% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.9% (0.208 0.21)43.1% (-0.209 -0.21)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.39% (-0.109 -0.11)42.6% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.04% (-0.093 -0.09)78.95% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 62.21%
    Rotherham United 16.16%
    Draw 21.62%
MiddlesbroughDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 7.33% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.5% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.98% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0029999999999997 0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 62.21%
1-1 @ 10.28% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.3% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 16.16%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Rotherham

Middlesbrough
84.6%
Draw
3.8%
Rotherham United
11.5%
26
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Jul 19, 2023 7pm
Club Friendlies
Rotherham
0-2
Middlesbrough
Silvera (5'), Gilbert (87')
May 1, 2023 1pm
Sep 17, 2022 7.45pm
Jul 30, 2021 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Rotherham
0-1
Middlesbrough
McNair (14')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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