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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
40.36% | 29.57% | 30.06% |
Both teams to score 42.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.6% | 64.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.53% | 83.47% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% | 31.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.34% | 67.66% |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.69% | 38.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.93% | 75.06% |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 13.92% 2-0 @ 8.09% 2-1 @ 7.76% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.36% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 11.99% 2-2 @ 3.72% Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.57% | 0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 5.52% 1-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.62% Total : 30.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |