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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
1 - 1
Bristol City

Cabango (15')
Naughton (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knight (76')
Mehmeti (55'), Sykes (90+2'), Wells (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Bristol City

Collecting seven points from an available nine at their South Wales base so far this season, Swansea should be confident of earning the derby bragging rights this weekend. Bristol City did well to stage a comeback and beat Oxford last time out, but we feel that the Robins' inconsistency could rear its ugly head once again at the Swansea.com Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
51.16% (0.193 0.19) 25.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)54.17% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.131 -0.13)75.58% (0.126 0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.08% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.59% (-0.267 -0.27)38.4% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.257 -0.26)75.16% (0.25500000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.15%
    Bristol City 23.31%
    Draw 25.52%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.31%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bristol City

Swansea City
71.1%
Draw
14.4%
Bristol City
14.4%
90
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 37
Bristol City
1-0
Swansea
Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')

Tymon (63')
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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