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Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bristol City

Swansea
1 - 1
Bristol City

Cabango (15')
Naughton (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knight (76')
Mehmeti (55'), Sykes (90+2'), Wells (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-0 Bristol City

Collecting seven points from an available nine at their South Wales base so far this season, Swansea should be confident of earning the derby bragging rights this weekend. Bristol City did well to stage a comeback and beat Oxford last time out, but we feel that the Robins' inconsistency could rear its ugly head once again at the Swansea.com Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
51.16% (0.193 0.19) 25.53% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 23.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)54.17% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (-0.131 -0.13)75.58% (0.126 0.13)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02)21.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)54.08% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.59% (-0.267 -0.27)38.4% (0.264 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.257 -0.26)75.16% (0.25500000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.15%
    Bristol City 23.31%
    Draw 25.52%
Swansea CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.37%
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.96% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.15%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.31%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bristol City

Swansea City
71.1%
Draw
14.4%
Bristol City
14.4%
90
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 37
Bristol City
1-0
Swansea
Dickie (73')
Sykes (71'), Wells (88')

Tymon (63')
Sep 2, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cullen (10')
Naughton (45+2'), Ginnelly (57'), Paterson (90')
Sykes (48'), Bell (59')
Naismith (45+3'), Dickie (86')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Bristol City
Cullen (34'), Ntcham (77')
Jan 17, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round Replays
Swansea
1-2
Bristol City
Cooper (73')
Sykes (62'), Bell (112')
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland86021661018
2Burnley85211441017
3West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom8512126616
4Leeds UnitedLeeds8431135815
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn8431149515
6Middlesbrough842295414
7Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
8Watford74121210213
9Hull City8332129312
10Norwich CityNorwich83321210212
11Swansea CitySwansea732285311
12Oxford UnitedOxford Utd83231210211
13Derby CountyDerby83051012-29
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall8224121118
16Coventry CityCoventry8224911-28
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth8224812-48
18Luton TownLuton8224813-58
19Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
20Queens Park RangersQPR8143914-57
21Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff8116317-144


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