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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Norwich

Forson (4' og.)
Darling (53'), Key (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nunez (45+1'), McLean (48'), Duffy (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Norwich City

Having surprised Coventry last time out, Norwich are arguably the favourites for this contest. However, with Swansea unbeaten at their home ground, we are backing them to earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
53.82% (0.1 0.1) 23.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 22.72% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.15% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.6% (0.161 0.16)46.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (0.151 0.15)68.68% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.095999999999989 0.1)17.16% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59% (0.168 0.17)47.41% (-0.167 -0.17)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.043999999999997 0.04)34.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.35% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 53.82%
    Norwich City 22.72%
    Draw 23.45%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 53.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
34.6%
Draw
30.8%
Norwich City
34.6%
52
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Norwich
2-2
Swansea
Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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