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Championship | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Norwich

Forson (4' og.)
Darling (53'), Key (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nunez (45+1'), McLean (48'), Duffy (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Swansea
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, August 31 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Norwich City

Having surprised Coventry last time out, Norwich are arguably the favourites for this contest. However, with Swansea unbeaten at their home ground, we are backing them to earn a share of the spoils in a low-scoring match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 22.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
53.82% (0.1 0.1) 23.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 22.72% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.15% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.6% (0.161 0.16)46.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (0.151 0.15)68.68% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (0.095999999999989 0.1)17.16% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59% (0.168 0.17)47.41% (-0.167 -0.17)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (0.043999999999997 0.04)34.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (0.045999999999999 0.05)71.35% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 53.82%
    Norwich City 22.72%
    Draw 23.45%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 53.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
34.6%
Draw
30.8%
Norwich City
34.6%
52
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Norwich
2-2
Swansea
Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland86021661018
2Burnley85211441017
3West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom8512126616
4Leeds UnitedLeeds8431135815
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn8431149515
6Middlesbrough842295414
7Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd743093613
8Watford74121210213
9Hull City8332129312
10Norwich CityNorwich83321210212
11Swansea CitySwansea732285311
12Oxford UnitedOxford Utd83231210211
13Derby CountyDerby83051012-29
14Bristol City7232913-49
15Millwall8224121118
16Coventry CityCoventry8224911-28
17Plymouth ArgylePlymouth8224812-48
18Luton TownLuton8224813-58
19Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds7214914-57
20Queens Park RangersQPR8143914-57
21Stoke CityStoke7205411-76
22Preston North EndPreston7124412-85
23Portsmouth7043713-64
24Cardiff CityCardiff8116317-144


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