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Chapecoense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 12
Jul 18, 2021 at 3pm UK
Arena Conda
Cuiaba

Chapecoense
2 - 3
Cuiaba

Geuvanio (17'), Ignacio (23')
Geuvanio (33'), Ramon (44')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jenison (19'), Marques (45+2'), Elton (89')
Paulao (42'), Jenison (73')

Preview: Chapecoense vs. Cuiaba - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Chapecoense and Cuiaba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Winless sides Chapecoense and Cuiaba face off at Arena Conda on Sunday in a huge game at the bottom of the Brasileiro.

Chapecoense have lost four games in a row and are two points behind their opponents, though Cuiaba do have a couple of games in hand.


Match preview

Chapecoense manager Jair Ventura on June 6, 2021© Reuters

The Big Green's first season back in the Brazilian top flight after a year absence has not panned out the way supporters would have wanted.

Jair Ventura's men have collected just four points from their first 11 games, avoiding defeat against only Athletico Paranaense, Atletico Mineiro, Sao Paulo and Ceara.

The 20 goals conceded by Chapecoense is easily the most of any side in the division, while at the other end they are among the lowest scorers with just 12 goals to their name.

While the campaign may still be in its early stages, this is already looking something close to a must-win game for the hosts if they are to avoid being cut adrift.

Cuiaba's situation is not quite as bleak given that they have a couple of games in hand on the majority of teams around them, but the Dourado could also do with a win on Sunday.

Cuiaba's Rafael Gava celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates June 23, 2021© Reuters

Jorginho's charges have drawn six and lost three of their first nine matches, most recently playing out a 2-2 draw with Ceara to remain in the bottom four.

The visitors have at least scored in back-to-back matches, following on the back of a run of three matches without finding the back of the net.

Jorginho will be quietly pleased with results in his first two matches, having held erstwhile leaders Bragantino before snatching a late point against midtable Ceara with 10 men.

There were few - if any - positives for Chapecoense to take from their last game, meanwhile, as they fell 2-1 away at Flamengo in a game they led with 12 minutes to go.

Chapecoense Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Cuiaba Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D



Team News

Cuiaba players huddle before the match on June 6, 2021© Reuters

Chapecoense are hopeful of having Tiepo and Alan Santos available for selection this weekend, but neither are likely to feature from the start of the game.

Pedro Perotti scored as a substitute against Flamengo and is pushing for inclusion here, as is Kaio Nunes.

As for Cuiaba, they will be without Pepe after the midfielder was sent off in the first half of the 2-2 draw with Ceara last week.

That should mean Auremir coming into central midfield alongside Uillian Correia and Danilo Gomes.

Murilo Rangel and Camilo are nursing injuries, meanwhile, and Yuri is a fitness doubt.

Chapecoense possible starting lineup:
Paulo; Ignacio, Santana, Derlan; Ribeiro, Leite, Lima, Busanello; Geuvanio, Ramon, Fernandinho

Cuiaba possible starting lineup:
Carlos; Lucas, Marllon, Paulao, Uendel; Correia, Gomes, Auremir; Marques, Elton, Clayson


SM words green background

We say: Chapecoense 1-2 Cuiaba

Chapecoense and Cuiaba will consider this as a huge opportunity to get a first win on the board at the 12th and 10th attempt respectively.

The visitors will be pleased enough with results since Jorginho took charge earlier this month, and we can see them picking up a much-needed win on Sunday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chapecoense win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chapecoense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Chapecoense vs Cuiaba

Chapecoense
29.2%
Draw
37.5%
Cuiaba
33.3%
24
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Flamengo's Rodrigo Muniz celebrates scoring their second goal on June 20, 2021
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