MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 23:34:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 23, 2023 at 1am UK
Arena do Gremio
Atletico Mineiro

Gremio
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Ronald (11')
Uvini (5'), Reinaldo (62'), Grando (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rubens (45+5'), Saravia (76'), Lemos (89'), Santana (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Gremio 1-1 Atletico Mineiro

Galo have been sharp defensively away from home in this competition, and we believe they will be able to limit the Gremio scoring opportunities on Saturday and find a way to claim a point against an unstable backline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Gremio win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawAtletico Mineiro
33.88% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06) 27.71% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 38.4% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 48.49% (-0.222 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.69% (-0.271 -0.27)57.31% (0.273 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.86% (-0.217 -0.22)78.14% (0.218 0.22)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)31.76% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.81% (-0.208 -0.21)68.19% (0.209 0.21)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)28.94% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.167 -0.17)64.82% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 33.88%
    Atletico Mineiro 38.4%
    Draw 27.71%
GremioDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.19% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 11.39% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.07% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 38.4%

How you voted: Gremio vs Atletico Mineiro

Gremio
62.1%
Draw
24.1%
Atletico Mineiro
13.8%
29
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Nov 4, 2021 12am
Jan 20, 2021 10.15pm
Sep 27, 2020 1am
Gameweek 12
Atletico Mineiro
3-1
Gremio
Keno (11', 52')
Oct 13, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 25
Atletico Mineiro
1-4
Gremio
Di Santo (45' pen.)
Hulk (45'), Cazares (45'), Geuvanio (62'), Luan (65'), Nathan (89')
Cazares (68')
Galhardo (34'), Souza (44' pen.), Pepe (47'), Alisson (94')
Andre (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo27175546252156
2PalmeirasPalmeiras27165644192553
3FortalezaFortaleza27157536261052
4FlamengoFlamengo26136742321045
5Sao Paulo2713593529644
6Bahia2712693831742
7Cruzeiro2712693427742
8InternacionalInternacional2611963223942
9Atletico Mineiro259973536-136
10Vasco da GamaVasco26105113036-635
11BragantinoBragantino2788113337-432
12JuventudeJuventude2788113137-632
13CriciumaCriciuma2788113441-732
14Gremio2694132934-531
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2587102729-231
16Vitoria2784152939-1028
17Corinthians27610112633-728
18Fluminense2676132129-827
19Cuiaba2658132338-1523
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2746172145-2418


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