Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza0 - 1Cerro Porteno
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Fortaleza and Cerro Porteno.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 4-0 Maldonado
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, March 3 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-0 Curico
Tuesday, February 28 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, February 28 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 57.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
57.96% ( -0.12) | 23.75% ( 0.04) | 18.29% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
