Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Cristal1 - 1River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sporting Cristal and River Plate.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Platense
Monday, May 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, May 22 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sporting Cristal | Draw | River Plate |
31.82% ( -0.86) | 25.01% ( -0.13) | 43.17% ( 0.99) |
Both teams to score 56.54% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.27% ( 0.26) | 46.73% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.01% ( 0.25) | 68.99% ( -0.24) |
Sporting Cristal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.16% ( -0.42) | 27.83% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.57% ( -0.54) | 63.43% ( 0.54) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.35% ( 0.57) | 21.65% ( -0.57) |