Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 29, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Metropolitanos1 - 1Deportivo Garcilaso
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Deportivo Garcilaso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 16 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Deportivo Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metropolitanos | Draw | Deportivo Garcilaso |
54.07% ( 0) | 23.92% ( -0.12) | 22% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.74% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.85% ( 0.59) | 49.15% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.78% ( 0.54) | 71.22% ( -0.54) |
| Metropolitanos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.91% ( 0.22) | 18.08% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.38) | 49.01% ( -0.38) |
| Deportivo Garcilaso Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.16% ( 0.44) | 36.84% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.37% ( 0.44) | 73.63% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Metropolitanos 54.07%
Deportivo Garcilaso 22%
Draw 23.92%
| Metropolitanos | Draw | Deportivo Garcilaso |
| 1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 54.07% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 22% |
How you voted: Metropolitanos vs Deportivo Garcilaso
Metropolitanos
76.9%Draw
23.1%Deportivo Garcilaso
0.0%13
Head to Head
Apr 4, 2024 11pm
Group Stage
Deportivo Garcilaso
3-2
Metropolitanos
Gentile (30'), Erustes (63' pen.), Gordillo (90+3')
Form Guide
