MX23RW : Thursday, April 10 15:00:48| >> :600:697873:697873:
Lazio logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Dec 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Lazio
3 - 1
Napoli

Noslin (32', 41', 50')
Zaccagni (57'), Hysaj (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simeone (36')
Marin (26'), Neres (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Lazio and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Napoli

Although Napoli have proven so hard to beat this season, they will have more than one eye on Sunday's game and could become Lazio's latest victims at the Olimpico. The hosts' fringe players are accustomed to playing most weeks, having been on Europa League duty since September, while Conte's second string rarely get a look-in. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawNapoli
44.14% (-0.249 -0.25) 26.87% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05) 28.99% (0.3 0.3)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.47% (0.32400000000001 0.32)55.53% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (0.265 0.27)76.71% (-0.26599999999999 -0.27)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (0.401 0.4)34.33% (-0.40199999999999 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (0.43 0.43)71.03% (-0.431 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 44.14%
    Napoli 28.99%
    Draw 26.87%
LazioDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.89% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.25% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.14%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.18% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.035 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Lazio vs Napoli

Lazio
Draw
Napoli
Lazio
42.1%
Draw
19.9%
Napoli
38.0%
171
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Lazio
0-0
Napoli
Romagnoli (55'), Gila (69'), Cataldi (82')
Demme (49'), Skiri Oestigaard (90+5')
Sep 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Napoli
1-2
Lazio
Zielinski (32')
Garcia (34')
Alberto (30'), Kamada (52')
Zaccagni (26'), Alberto (60'), Sarri (88')
Mar 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Napoli
0-1
Lazio
Vecino (67')
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Zaccagni (4')
Milinkovic-Savic (67'), Anderson (70'), Cataldi (70'), Sarri (90'), Marusic (90+4')
Min-jae (38'), Kvaratskhelia (61')
Spalletti (81')
Feb 27, 2022 7.50pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-2
Napoli
Pedro (88')
Radu (71'), Immobile (79'), Zaccagni (82')
Insigne (62'), Fabian (90+4')
Rui (90+3'), Fabian (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool31227272304273
2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle30165952391353
6Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
7Aston Villa3114984646051
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3145222570-4517
20Southampton3124252374-5110


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!