Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.