MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:20:37| >> :600:1088100:1088100:
Potential new EFL Cup header

EFL Cup
Aston Villa logo
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Oct 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Villa Park
Crystal Palace logo

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Crystal Palace

Duran (23')
Carlos (67'), Mings (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eze (8'), Kamada (64')
Mateta (76'), Hughes (78'), Munoz (90+1'), Guehi (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Crystal Palace secures their place in the 2024-25 EFL Cup quarterfinals with a superb 2-1 win against a wasteful Aston Villa on Wednesday evening.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Crystal Palace

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Spurs
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
47.35% (-0.183 -0.18) 23.42%29.23% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.63% (0.115 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27% (0.1 0.1)40.73% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89% (0.103 0.1)63.11% (-0.102 -0.1)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)17.46% (0.034000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)47.93% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.46% (0.17099999999999 0.17)26.54% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.25% (0.227 0.23)61.75% (-0.228 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 47.35%
    Crystal Palace 29.23%
    Draw 23.41%
Aston VillaDrawCrystal Palace
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.61% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 47.35%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 29.23%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace

Aston Villa
72.2%
Draw
16.7%
Crystal Palace
11.1%
234
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 38
Crystal Palace
5-0
Aston Villa
Mateta (9', 39', 63'), Eze (54', 69')
Andersen (24')

McGinn (18'), Digne (58'), Luiz (73'), Lenglet (90+2')
> Match Report
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
3-1
Crystal Palace
Duran (87'), Luiz (90+8' pen.), Bailey (90+11')
McGinn (17'), Zaniolo (45+4'), Cash (86'), Duran (90+15'), Bailey (90+14')
Edouard (47')
Eze (17'), Hughes (53'), Ward (90+8')
> Match Report
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
1-0
Crystal Palace
Andersen (27' og.)
> Match Report
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Crystal Palace
3-1
Aston Villa
Zaha (7', 58'), Mateta (71')
Zaha (39'), Schlupp (75')
Watkins (5')
McGinn (36')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 37
Aston Villa
1-1
Crystal Palace
Watkins (69')
Mings (9')
Schlupp (81')
Gallagher (14'), Edouard (76'), Kouyate (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!