MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 18:36:41| >> :60:126:126:
Aston Villa logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Villa Park
Everton logo

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Everton

Kamara (83')
Watkins (46'), Digne (74'), Konsa (79'), Luiz (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Garner (15'), Calvert-Lewin (50')
Patterson (48'), Tarkowski (66'), McNeil (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Everton beat Aston Villa 2-1 to book their place in the fourth round of the EFL Cup.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Everton
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawEverton
41.25% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 25.09% (0.338 0.34) 33.66% (-0.399 -0.4)
Both teams to score 56.92% (-1.292 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.48% (-1.635 -1.64)46.52% (1.636 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.21% (-1.555 -1.56)68.79% (1.555 1.55)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.67399999999999 -0.67)22.47% (0.675 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.99% (-1.018 -1.02)56.01% (1.019 1.02)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (-1.02 -1.02)26.58% (1.02 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (-1.371 -1.37)61.8% (1.371 1.37)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 41.26%
    Everton 33.66%
    Draw 25.08%
Aston VillaDrawEverton
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.191 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.402 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.315 0.32)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.46% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Everton

Aston Villa
83.5%
Draw
8.8%
Everton
7.7%
91
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
4-0
Everton
McGinn (18'), Luiz (24' pen.), Bailey (51'), Duran (75')
Luiz (14'), Digne (33'), Archer (89')

Pickford (24'), Keane (45+4'), Gueye (45+9'), Patterson (86')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Everton
0-2
Aston Villa
Watkins (63' pen.), Buendia (81')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Aston Villa
2-1
Everton
Ings (31'), Buendia (85')
Coutinho (29'), Digne (49'), Ings (75'), Young (90+8')
Digne (87' og.)
Davies (43')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 23
Everton
0-1
Aston Villa

Gomes (45+1'), Calvert-Lewin (50'), Mina (58'), Allan (82'), Godfrey (83')
Buendia (45+3')
Martinez (69'), Cash (75'), Mings (86'), Ings (90+3')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
3-0
Everton
Cash (66'), Digne (69' og.), Bailey (75')
Bailey (76')

Godfrey (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Rams
@
Bears
6pm
Eagles
@
Buccaneers
6pm
Steelers
@
Colts
6pm
Saints
@
Falcons
6pm
Broncos
@
Jets
6pm
Vikings
@
Packers
6pm
Bengals
@
Panthers
6pm
Jags
@
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
@
Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Chargers
9.25pm
Browns
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!