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Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Portsmouth

Bolton
1 - 0
Portsmouth

FT(HT: 1-0)

Curtis (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Portsmouth

We expect to see an entertaining encounter at the University of Bolton Stadium on Tuesday, with both teams likely to play with more freedom than they will in their forthcoming league meeting at the weekend. Ultimately, though, Bolton are a far more settled unit under Evatt than their manager-less opponents, and should be able to squeeze out a victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
52.69% (7.122 7.12) 23.5% (-1.727 -1.73) 23.81% (-5.39 -5.39)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.885 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (3.385 3.39)45.45% (-3.381 -3.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (3.149 3.15)67.78% (-3.147 -3.15)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (4.217 4.22)17.22% (-4.213 -4.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (6.932 6.93)47.52% (-6.927 -6.93)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-2.459 -2.46)33.14% (2.464 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-2.81 -2.81)69.74% (2.814 2.81)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.69%
    Portsmouth 23.81%
    Draw 23.49%
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.536 0.54)
2-0 @ 8.83% (1.03 1.03)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.986 0.99)
3-0 @ 5.18% (1.173 1.17)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.362 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.693 0.69)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.735 0.74)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.312 0.31)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.69%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.88 -0.88)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.868 -0.87)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-1.467 -1.47)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.947 -0.95)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-1.109 -1.11)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.527 -0.53)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Bolton vs Portsmouth

Bolton Wanderers
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Portsmouth
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bolton
Pitman (66')
Curtis (32'), Close (58')

Hobbs (45'), Lowe (50')
Apr 24, 2010 3pm
Bolton
2-2
Portsmouth
Davies (28'), Klasnic (26')
Muamba (65')
Dindane (54', 68')
Hughes (75')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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