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Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Portsmouth

Bolton
1 - 0
Portsmouth

FT(HT: 1-0)

Curtis (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Portsmouth

We expect to see an entertaining encounter at the University of Bolton Stadium on Tuesday, with both teams likely to play with more freedom than they will in their forthcoming league meeting at the weekend. Ultimately, though, Bolton are a far more settled unit under Evatt than their manager-less opponents, and should be able to squeeze out a victory as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.69%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bolton Wanderers.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
52.69% (7.122 7.12) 23.5% (-1.727 -1.73) 23.81% (-5.39 -5.39)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.885 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (3.385 3.39)45.45% (-3.381 -3.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (3.149 3.15)67.78% (-3.147 -3.15)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.78% (4.217 4.22)17.22% (-4.213 -4.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.48% (6.932 6.93)47.52% (-6.927 -6.93)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-2.459 -2.46)33.14% (2.464 2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-2.81 -2.81)69.74% (2.814 2.81)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.69%
    Portsmouth 23.81%
    Draw 23.49%
Bolton WanderersDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.536 0.54)
2-0 @ 8.83% (1.03 1.03)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.986 0.99)
3-0 @ 5.18% (1.173 1.17)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.362 0.36)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.693 0.69)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.735 0.74)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.312 0.31)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 52.69%
1-1 @ 11.08% (-0.88 -0.88)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.868 -0.87)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.3% (-1.467 -1.47)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.947 -0.95)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-1.109 -1.11)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.527 -0.53)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Bolton vs Portsmouth

Bolton Wanderers
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Portsmouth
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bolton
Pitman (66')
Curtis (32'), Close (58')

Hobbs (45'), Lowe (50')
Apr 24, 2010 3pm
Bolton
2-2
Portsmouth
Davies (28'), Klasnic (26')
Muamba (65')
Dindane (54', 68')
Hughes (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Rams
18-24
Bears
FT
Eagles
16-33
Buccaneers
FT
Steelers
24-27
Colts
FT
Saints
24-26
Falcons
FT
Broncos
10-9
Jets
FT
Vikings
31-29
Packers
FT
Bengals
34-24
Panthers
FT
Jags
20-24
Texans
9.05pm
Patriots
@
49ers
9.05pm
Washington
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Cardinals
9.25pm
Chiefs
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Chargers
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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