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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Portsmouth

Exeter
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Stansfield (31'), Sparkes (79'), Collins (90+2')
FT

Dale (40'), Morrison (58'), Morrell (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Exeter City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Portsmouth

 Two of Exeter's last three games have ended all square, while Pompey have drawn four of their previous six matches, and we think that the two sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils when they go head-to-head on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
31.98% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 26.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 41.45% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.5% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)53.28% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)74.83% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)30.99% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)67.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)25.36% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)60.16% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 31.98%
    Portsmouth 41.44%
    Draw 26.57%
Exeter CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.89% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.98%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.86% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.44%

How you voted: Exeter vs Portsmouth

Exeter City
22.6%
Draw
25.8%
Portsmouth
51.6%
31
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Exeter
2-3
Portsmouth
Jay (6'), Collins (76')
Hirst (5'), Curtis (89', 90+3')
Morrell (35'), Raggett (64'), Curtis (90+4')
Feb 18, 2020 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Portsmouth
3-2
Exeter
Harness (86'), McGeehan (90'), Marquis (90')
Taylor (79'), Burgess (89' og.)
Fisher (50'), Warren (59')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Exeter

Clarke (68'), Forde (79')
Wheeler (57')
Reid (78')
Aug 27, 2016 3pm
Exeter
0-1
Portsmouth

Harley (25'), Sweeney (85'), Riley-Lowe (90')
Roberts (85' pen.)
Mar 1, 2016 7.45pm
Exeter
1-1
Portsmouth
Watkins (90')
Chaplin (31')
Burgess (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628
> League One Full Table


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