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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 74.32%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.06%) and 4-1 (6.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.84%), while for a win it was 1-2 (2.95%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
74.32% | 13.33% | 12.35% |
Both teams to score 71.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
84.22% | 15.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
68.17% | 31.83% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.23% | 3.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
83.86% | 16.14% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.58% | 25.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.77% | 60.23% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
3-1 @ 7.72% 2-1 @ 7.06% 4-1 @ 6.33% 3-0 @ 5.64% 3-2 @ 5.29% 2-0 @ 5.16% 4-0 @ 4.62% 4-2 @ 4.34% 5-1 @ 4.15% 1-0 @ 3.14% 5-0 @ 3.03% 5-2 @ 2.84% 6-1 @ 2.27% 4-3 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1.66% 6-2 @ 1.56% 5-3 @ 1.3% 7-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 5.17% Total : 74.32% | 2-2 @ 4.84% 1-1 @ 4.31% 3-3 @ 2.41% 0-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.82% Total : 13.33% | 1-2 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-3 @ 1.35% 0-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 4.54% Total : 12.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |