MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 08:21:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Sparta Rotterdam logo

Ajax
4 - 0
Sparta

Tadic (6', 64' pen.), Taylor (27'), Kudus (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rosario (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 12 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-0 Sparta Rotterdam

 While Ajax are naturally the favourites to prevail from this fixture, Sparta cannot be discounted, particularly given the home side's efforts earlier in the week. Nevertheless, we have to back Ajax to come through with three points, even if they are made to work hard for a maximum haul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 81.88%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 6.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawSparta Rotterdam
81.88% (-0.765 -0.77) 11.6% (0.472 0.47) 6.52% (0.2981 0.3)
Both teams to score 51.02% (-0.419 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.67% (-1.296 -1.3)27.34% (1.302 1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.09% (-1.65 -1.65)47.91% (1.657 1.66)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.04% (-0.358 -0.36)4.97% (0.363 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.13% (-1.098 -1.1)19.87% (1.104 1.1)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.69% (-0.235 -0.23)46.31% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.04% (-0.18 -0.18)81.96% (0.18499999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 81.87%
    Sparta Rotterdam 6.52%
    Draw 11.6%
AjaxDrawSparta Rotterdam
3-0 @ 10.37% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.32 0.32)
3-1 @ 7.99% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.193 0.19)
4-0 @ 7.79% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.377 0.38)
4-1 @ 6% (-0.155 -0.15)
5-0 @ 4.68% (-0.209 -0.21)
5-1 @ 3.6% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.34% (-0.167 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.075 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.8% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.082 -0.08)
7-0 @ 1% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 81.87%
1-1 @ 5.31% (0.256 0.26)
2-2 @ 3.07% (0.054 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.3% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 11.6%
1-2 @ 2.05% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 1.77% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 6.52%

How you voted: Ajax vs Sparta

Ajax
90.9%
Draw
4.5%
Sparta Rotterdam
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 1.30pm
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

de Guzman (14')
Bergwijn (37')
Alvarez (32')
Apr 9, 2022 7pm
Ajax
2-1
Sparta
Klaassen (49'), Tadic (62' pen.)
De Kamps (33')
de Kamps (50'), Auassar (61'), Engels (64')
Nov 28, 2021 11.15am
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Engels (90+5'), Smeets (90+5')
Tadic (36')
Neres (90+4'), Maduro (90+5')
Feb 21, 2021 7pm
Ajax
4-2
Sparta
Haller (14', 37'), Schuurs (45+4'), Kudus (50')
Gravenberch (53', 90+1')
Heylen (55')
Sep 13, 2020 1.30pm
Sparta
0-1
Ajax

Heylen (54'), Pinto (57')
Antony (37')
Gravenberch (17'), Blind (28'), Onana (86')
Tagliafico (27')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306
> Eredivisie Full Table


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