Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Stade Louis II

Monaco
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

(agg: -)

Ben Yedder (19' pen.), Embolo (84')
Fofana (41'), Henrique (119'), Jakobs (120')

FT
(aet)

Wirtz (13'), Palacios (21'), Adli (58')
Andrich (65'), Palacios (99')

B. Leverkusen win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Monaco and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Brest 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 Mainz
Sunday, February 19 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Monaco 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Monaco could be exposed out wide with their top two right-backs, Vanderson and Aguilar, injured, but they can make up for their defensive frailties with plenty of quality in the attacking third. Losing Diaby is a massive blow for Alonso ahead of this match as his side rely heavily on the Frenchman for goals, while defensively this group have been exposed often, conceding six times in their last two games in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%).

Result
Monaco	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
50.68% ( 0.1)	23.4% ( -0.04)	25.93% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 57.96% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.96% (

0.11)

43.05% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.56% (

0.11)

65.45% (

-0.11)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.92% (

0.08)

17.08% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.74% (

0.13)

47.26% (

-0.13)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

0.01)

30.11% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

0.01)

66.25% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Monaco 50.68%

Bayer Leverkusen 25.93%

Draw 23.39%

Monaco	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.99% Total : 50.68%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.39%	1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 25.93%