Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Bilino Polje

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 2
Slovakia

Hrosovsky (49' og.)
Gojkovic (35'), Basic (48'), Prevljak (58')
Gojkovic (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bozenik (52'), Satka (71')
Bozenik (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions

Last Game: Luxembourg 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	9	32	27
2	Slovakia	9	8	19
3	Luxembourg	9	-7	14
4	Iceland	9	3	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	9	-10	9
6	Liechtenstein	9	-26	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 4-2 Iceland
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	9	32	27
2	Slovakia	9	8	19
3	Luxembourg	9	-7	14
4	Iceland	9	3	10
5	Bosnia-Herzegovina	9	-10	9
6	Liechtenstein	9	-26	0

We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0-1 Slovakia

Bosnia-Herzegovina have not drawn a single match in this group, while Slovakia have shared the points on just one occasion, so the statistics point to a home or an away win here. The hosts are capable of securing all three points, but we just fancy Slovakia to edge a close contest this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Slovakia
29.82% ( -0.04)	25.74% ( -0.03)	44.44% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.32% (

0.1)

50.68% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.42% (

0.09)

72.58% (

-0.08)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.82% (

0.02)

31.18% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

0.03)

67.51% (

-0.02)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

0.07)

22.74% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59% (

0.1)

56.41% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Bosnia-Herzegovina 29.82%

Slovakia 44.43%

Draw 25.73%

Bosnia-Herzegovina	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 29.82%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.43%