Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Riviera

France
14 - 0
Gibraltar

Santos (3' og.), Dembele (73'), Mbappe (74', 82', 30' pen.), Giroud (89', 90+1'), Thuram (4'), Zaire-Emery (16'), Clauss (34'), Coman (36', 65'), Fofana (37'), Rabiot (63')

FT(HT: 7-0)

Casciaro (31')
Santos (18')

Didier Deschamps provides reassuring update on Warren Zaire-Emery injury

Didier Deschamps provides a reassuring update on Warren Zaire-Emery after the Paris Saint-Germain teenager was forced off in France's 14-0 win over Gibraltar.

Nov 19, 07:39

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between France and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Saturday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B clash with Gibraltar.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: France 4-1 Scotland
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	12	18
2	Greece	7	6	12
3	Netherlands	6	3	12
4	Republic of Ireland	7	0	6
5	Gibraltar	6	-21	0

Gibraltar

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-4 Rep. Ireland
Monday, October 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	6	12	18
2	Greece	7	6	12
3	Netherlands	6	3	12
4	Republic of Ireland	7	0	6
5	Gibraltar	6	-21	0

Despite putting three unanswered goals past Gibraltar back in the summer, the manner of France's performance still left something to be desired, but Les Bleus should have few problems tearing their cellar-dwelling opponents to shreds here. Gibraltar boss Ribas will likely employ a backs-against-the-wall approach from the first whistle, but once the deadlock is broken, the floodgates will surely open. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 99.47%. A draw had a probability of 0.5% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 5-0 with a probability of 15.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 6-0 (14.71%) and 4-0 (13.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.34%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 14-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.

Result
France	Draw	Gibraltar
99.47% ( -0.01)	0.5% ( 0.01)	0.03% ( -0)

Both teams to score 7.25% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

92.29% (

-0.21)

7.71% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

81.92% (

-0.41)

18.08% (

0.41)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

99.64% (

-0.01)

0.36% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

97.6% (

-0.07)

2.4% (

0.08)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

7.27% (

-0.19)

92.73% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

0.27% (

-0.02)

99.73% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

France 99.45%

Gibraltar 0.03%

Draw 0.5%

France	Draw	Gibraltar
5-0 @ 15.71% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 14.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.18) 7-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.2) 8-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.14) 9-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 10-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 11-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.85% Total : 99.45%	Other @ 0.5% Total : 0.5%	Other @ 0.03% Total : 0.03%