Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
Netherlands3 - 0Greece
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Netherlands and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Greece.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Italy
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Nations League
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Nations League
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Greece | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Republic of Ireland | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Netherlands | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 4 | -12 | 0 |
Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 4 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Greece | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Republic of Ireland | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Netherlands | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 4 | -12 | 0 |
We said: Netherlands 2-2 Greece
Following an underwhelming start to 2023, the pressure is on the Netherlands to find their form and come out on top in what, on paper, is considered a favourable-looking fixture at home against Greece. However, considering that the Oranje are missing a few key players and have shown signs of defensive frailties under Koeman, Greece could spring a surprise and claim a hard-fought point in an entertaining contest in Eindhoven to shake up Group B. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Greece had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Netherlands | Draw | Greece |
42.12% ( -1.63) | 26.73% ( 0.3) | 31.15% ( 1.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
