MX23RW : Sunday, June 30 06:23:34| >> :60:446:446:
Wales national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Millennium Stadium
Latvia national football team

Wales
1 - 0
Latvia

Moore (41')
Wilson (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sorokins (44'), Cernomordijs (58'), Zjuzins (62')

The Match

Match Report

Wales record a 1-0 victory over Latvia to extend their unbeaten start to Euro 2024 qualifying.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Wales
Saturday, March 25 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 3-2 Latvia
Wednesday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Wales had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
WalesDrawLatvia
34.58% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 26.24% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 39.18% (-0.108 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.23% (-0.298 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)51.37% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.334 -0.33)73.19% (0.33999999999999 0.34)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.64% (-0.17 -0.17)28.36% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.9% (-0.218 -0.22)64.1% (0.223 0.22)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (-0.23299999999999 -0.23)25.7% (0.239 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (-0.32 -0.32)60.62% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Wales 34.58%
    Latvia 39.18%
    Draw 26.24%
WalesDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.097 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.79% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.58%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.086 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.18%

How you voted: Wales vs Latvia

Wales
75.0%
Draw
10.9%
Latvia
14.1%
128
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!